Florida Presidential Primary Karma May Strike Again

Feb 2, 2016


But early last year, with Florida's then favorite son Jeb Bush certain to run, the legislature moved the primary back in order to allow it to be a winner-take-all affair. The plan was that Jeb would easily win, almost assuring that Florida's massive delegate haul would overwhelm Jeb's opponents...Oops.
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Do you really want be a member of a club that has Trump as its frontrunner?

Dec 10, 2015


Since Richard Nixon's maligned "Southern strategy" (the GOP's calculated decision to embrace disenchanted segregationists in order to carry the South on Election Day) the Republican Party has tried to keep its right wing, angry cousin in the family without giving them an invite to the wedding. So nearly, ritualistically, each primary season presidential wannabes pay lip-service to the right with a generous helping of red meat, then run to the center for some healthier fare.

This season, however, that nasty cousin's not just at the wedding, he's giving the toast. And it's a very, very ugly toast.
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About that confederate flag...

Jun 24, 2015


I don't like that Governor Scott wears a confederate flag on his boots, but I am far more concerned that he arbitrarily curtailed early voting knowing it would likely disenfranchise hundreds of thousands of voters, mostly minority and African-American.
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Is Jeb educable?

May 16, 2015


Watching Jeb's last week as not a candidate for President reminded me just how educable he isn't. His 4-day Iraq invasion question was a real adventure. His perceptible discomfort at answering questions he didn't like was painful.
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Don't be a jerk.

May 1, 2015


Just because you have power doesn't mean you're incapable of a mistake. Don't be afraid to second-guess yourselves. Tallahassee can be a bubble. Your colleagues and the lobbying corps, consultants and assorted sycophants will all reaffirm your judgment until you are convinced everyone else is an idiot and you are the only one in the state — perhaps the world — that gets it.

Hubris is a weakness not an organizing principle.

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Rubio & Bush Hometown Loves Obamacare

Apr 14, 2015


Interestingly, both men had jobs before they were seeking this one. When Jeb was Governor of Florida (and Marco the Speaker of the Florida House) they addressed health care and had opportunities to promote their solutions.
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Legislature's redistricting handiwork destined for courts

Jan 16, 2012


After more than two years of bickering over reforms meant to curb political abuses, the Florida Senate on Tuesday plans to debate maps for congressional and legislative districts that preserve Republican majorities and, its authors say, meet legal muster with Fair Districts.

Likewise, Dan Gelber, a former legislator and general counsel for Fair Districts Now, said his membership submitted maps last week "to give the Legislature an opportunity to pass a map that complies with the criteria" of amendments 5 and 6.

But Republicans in charge of redistricting have fired back at the "cynical litigation strategy" by arguing the new maps disenfranchise black voters and that the deadline for public maps passed more than two months ago.
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Bill Nelson's Survival Strategy

Jan 11, 2012


As Republicans try to link Nelson to Obama at every turn, strategists in the state in both parties concede that he has cultivated a reputation as a noncontroversial figure, distinct from national Democrats. That's another reason he can win in Florida, even if Obama can't.

"Nelson is one of the few Democrats with a statewide identity, and that really distinguishes him from everybody else, who is generally going to be tied to a national trend line," said Democrat Dan Gelber, a former state House minority leader.
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Dan Gelber on exceptionalism and the old Marco Rubio

Sep 6, 2011


Dan Gelber has a Miami Herald op ed rebuttal to Marco Rubio's recent Reagan Library speech:

In a recent speech at the Reagan Library — part of which was excerpted in these pages — U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio asserts that the decision of America in this last century to collectively care for those that have fallen behind "actually weakened us as a people." While his words may have been a dog whistle for the right wing, I took a double take.
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Who will take on Rick Scott? Charlie Crist? Alex Sink? Jeremy Ring? Rod Smith? Dan Gelber?

Jun 14, 2011


Forget Barack Obama. The fellow really firing up Florida Democrats is Rick Scott.

On Saturday, Democratic activists who gathered in Broward County for their annual Jefferson-Jackson fundraising gala invoked the name of Florida's unpopular, hard-right governor at least as often as Obama.

Two widely expected challengers — former gubernatorial candidate Alex Sink and South Florida state Sen. Jeremy Ring — mingled with party activists Saturday along with two other less certain prospects, state party chairman Rod Smith and former state Sen. Dan Gelber.

"When you're in a campaign spending $5 million a week on TV, you can create your truth," Gelber said. "But when you're not in campaign cycle, the truth creates itself. It's very hard to disabuse people of their first impressions and his first impression is horrible. People are seeing him for who he really is."
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Gelber pining for Jeb Bush

May 31, 2011


"I miss Jeb Bush." That's [more or less] the wistful start of Democrat Dan Gelber's blog post today.

Yep; the former state senator-turned AG candidate says on his blog that he is pining for his old adversary. Sort of.

"Don't misunderstand, I fought Jeb (and, I suspect, will again). But no matter how much I opposed his policies, I always believed Jeb possessed the requisite respect for our state and its people," Gelber writes.
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